Indonesia. Peanut Annual. Mar 2015 Апрель 12, 2015
Production:
Based on GOI data, Indonesian peanut area and production continues to decline. As a result, Post expects peanut production to decline to 630 thousand MT in 2014/15 and 615 thousand MT in 2015/16.
Consumption:
Peanut consumption is divided into household, home industry and large scale industry consumers. Home industry uses about 81 percent of total peanut consumption for food. Household peanut food use is expected to decline slightly to 1.25 MMT in MY 2014/15 and 2015/16, following similar declines in production.
Peanut oil consumption in Indonesia is nearly non-existent due to its limited availability compared to palm and coconut oil. Therefore, Post expects the volume of peanuts for crushing will remain around 50,000 MT in MY 2014/15 and 2015/16. Feed use of peanuts is expected to reach 100,000 MT in MY 2014/15 and 2015/16.
Trade:
Post expects peanut imports to remain stable at 275 thousand MT in MY 2014/15 and 2015/16. Post will continue surveillance on production, which may drive down imports if yields improve.
Stocks:
Ending stocks are expected to remain stable at 71,000 MT in MY 2014/15 and 68,000 MT in MY 2015/16, reflecting relatively stable production, consumption, and imports.
Production, Supply and Demand Data Statistic
Oilseed, Peanut | 2013/2014 | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 | |||
Market Begin Year | Oct-13 | Oct-14 | Oct-15 | |||
Indonesia | USDA Official | New Post | USDA Official | New Post | USDA Official | New Post |
Area Planted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Area Harvested | 655 | 655 | 630 | 630 | 0 | 615 |
Beginning Stocks | 36 | 36 | 38 | 53 | 0 | 71 |
Production | 1,160 | 1,160 | 1,150 | 1,150 | 0 | 1,130 |
MY Imports | 310 | 276 | 310 | 275 | 0 | 275 |
MY Imp. from U.S. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
MY Imp. from EU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total Supply | 1,506 | 1,472 | 1,498 | 1,478 | 0 | 1,476 |
MY Exports | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
MY Exp. to EU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Crush | 65 | 55 | 65 | 50 | 0 | 50 |
Food Use Dom. Cons. | 1,330 | 1,290 | 1,300 | 1,250 | 0 | 1,250 |
Feed Waste Dom. Cons. | 65 | 65 | 95 | 100 | 0 | 100 |
Total Dom. Cons. | 1,460 | 1,410 | 1,460 | 1,400 | 0 | 1,400 |
Ending Stocks | 38 | 53 | 30 | 71 | 0 | 68 |
Total Distribution | 1,506 | 1,472 | 1,498 | 1,478 | 0 | 1,476 |
CY Imports | 310 | 282 | 310 | 290 | 0 | 275 |
CY Imp. from U.S. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CY Exports | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CY Exp. to U.S. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
TS=TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |