Highlights

For MY 2016/17, FAS Rabat revised post's estimate for wheat imports from 5 million MT to 5.5 million MT. This change is based on increasing import demand as a result of tightening stocks and the results of the most recent tender. In addition, the MY 2017/18 season started very late, due to rain delays and some areas sowing did not finish until the end of December 2016. According to the Ministry of Agriculture's latest statement, total area planted to cereals (common wheat, durum, and barley) in the 2017 season, as of January 15, is estimated at 4.8 million hectares.

General InformationMY 2016/17

Post revised its forecast for Morocco's MY2016/17 wheat imports from 5 million MT to 5.5 million MT. This change is based on increasing import demand as a result of tightening stocks and the results of the most recent tender. As of January 1, 2017, Morocco estimates its total stock of common wheat at 150,000 MT, durum wheat at 60,000 MT, and barley at 100,000 MT. According to the trade, these stocks will cover domestic demand only through the end of February, and consequently, imports are expected to increase. On December 27, 2016, the Cereals Office (ONCIL), under the Ministry of Agriculture, solicited bids from importers for licenses to import wheat under the U.S. and EU tariff rate quotas (TRQ).

MY 2017/18

The MY 2017/18 season started very late, due to rain delays and some areas sowing did not finish until the end of December 2016. According to the Ministry of Agriculture's latest statement, total area planted to cereals (common wheat, durum and barley) in the 2017 season, as of January 15, is estimated at 4.8 million hectare (HA).

Wheat, Morocco (Areas in 1,000 HA and Quantities in 1,000 MT)

Wheat

2014/2015

2015/2016

2016/2017

Market Begin

Jun 2014

Jun 2015

Jun 2016

Morocco

USDA

Official

New

Post

USDA

Official

New

Post

USDA

Official

New

Post

Area Harvested

3,060

3,060

3,200

3,200

2,109

2,109

Beginning Stocks

4,321

4,321

4,269

4,269

6,780

6,780

Production

5,100

5,,100

8,000

8,000

2,731

2,761

MY Imports

4,086

4,086

4,429

4,429

5,000

5,500

TY Imports

4,086

4,086

4,503

4,503

5,000

5,500

TY Imp. from U.S.

10

10

20

20

0

898

Total Supply

13,507

13,507

16,698

16,698

14,511

15,041

MY Exports

238

238

118

118

100

100

TY Exports

224

224

109

109

100

100

Feed and Residual

400

400

800

800

800

700

FSI Consumption

8,600

8,600

9,000

9,000

9,400

9,400

Total Consumption

9,000

9,000

9,800

9,800

10,200

10,100

Ending Stocks

4,269

4,269

6,780

6,780

4,211

4,841

Total Distribution

13,507

13,507

16,698

16,698

14,511

15,041


Barley, Morocco (Areas in 1,000 HA and Quantities in 1,000 MT)

Barley

2014/2015

2015/2016

2016/2017

Market Begin Year

Jul 2014

Jul 2015

Jul 2016

Morocco

USDA

Official

New

Post

USDA

Official

New

Post

USDA

Official

New

Post

Area Harvested

1,440

1,440

1,600

1,600

1,135

1,135

Beginning Stocks

975

975

371

371

1,238

1,238

Production

1,700

1,700

3,500

3,500

1,076

1,076

MY Imports

396

396

817

817

800

800

TY Imports

276

276

958

958

900

900

TY Imp. from U.S.

14

14

0

0

0

0

Total Supply

3,071

3,071

4,688

4,688

3,114

3,114

MY Exports

0

0

0

0

0

0

TY Exports

0

0

0

0

0

0

Feed and Residual

1,700

1,700

2,250

2,250

1,850

1,850

FSI Consumption

1,000

1,000

1,200

1,200

950

950

Total Consumption

2,700

2,700

3,450

3,450

2,800

2,800

Ending Stocks

371

371

1,238

1,238

314

314

Total Distribution

3,071

3,071

4,688

4,688

3,114

3,114