Production

Rapeseed has been harvested from around 450 thousand hectares (ha) (excluding Crimean Peninsula) which produced around 1.2 million metric tons (MMT) of output for 2016. This number is included in PSD data as the production volume for marketing year (MY) 2016/17.

According to the Ministry of Agricultural Policy and Food of Ukraine (MAPFU) farmers have already harvested 12.2 MMT of sunflower seed and 3.5 MMT of soybeans as of November 1, 2016. These numbers were used by FAS Kyiv to estimate production volumes of these crops for MY2016/17.

Farmers have planted 798 thousand ha of winter rapeseed in 2016, nearly a two-fold increase compared to 2015 area. Taking into account that winter rapeseed provides over 90 percent output of this crop, with 10 percent being produced in the spring, this will likely lead to higher production volumes for the upcoming MY assuming favorable weather conditions. SSSU provided official numbers for oil production for MY2015/16 including: sunflower oil –4.5 MMT; soybean oil – 173 thousand MT; and rapeseed oil – 158 thousand MT. These figures were used to approximate production numbers for MY2015/16. FAS Kyiv slightly increased the extraction rate for sunflower oil because the Ukrainian oilseed industry has built a significant number of new oil extraction facilities. The current excess of crush capacity is pushing outdated and/or inefficient facilities out of business.

Consumption

Domestic poultry producers suggest that they are expanding use of sunflower meal in the diet of their poultry flocks. FAS Kyiv rebalanced feed consumption in favor of increasing sunflower meal while subsequently reducing usage of soybean meal.

Trade

Export numbers for MY2015/16 have been finalized based on reports of the State Fiscal Service of Ukraine. Ukraine continues to boost export volumes, which was especially visible for sunflower oil and meal, as well as soybeans and products of processing thereof. Rapeseed exports for MY2015/16 were limited by lower volumes of production. This trend is expected to continue for MY2016/17.

Sunflowerseed

Oilseed, Sunflowerseed

Market Begin Year

Ukraine

2014/2015

2015/2016

2016/2017

Sep 2015

Sep 2015

Sep 2016

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

Area Planted

0

5337

0

5185

0

6010

Area Harvested

5300

5293

5247

5247

6000

6026

Beginning Stocks

412

412

122

122

40

214

Production

10200

10551

11288

11557

13500

13357

MY Imports

15

15

22

22

15

17

MY Imp. from U.S.

5

4

5

7

5

7

MY Imp. from EU

0

4

0

5

0

5

Total Supply

10627

10978

11432

11701

13555

13588

MY Exports

45

45

82

83

150

50

MY Exp. to EU

40

31

20

51

50

30

Crush

10300

10450

11150

11150

13100

13100

Food Use Dom. Cons.

50

50

50

50

50

50

Feed Waste Dom. Cons.

110

311

110

204

110

225

Total Dom. Cons.

10460

10811

11310

11404

13260

13375

Ending Stocks

122

122

40

214

145

163

Total Distribution

10627

10978

11432

11701

13555

13588

Oil, Sunflowerseed

2014/2015

2015/2016

2016/2017

Market Begin Year

Ukraine

Sep 2014

Sep 2015

Sep 2016

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

New Post

Crush

10300

10450

11150

11150

13100

13100

Extr. Rate, 999.9999

0.423

0.43

0.423

0.43

0.423

0.43

Beginning Stocks

174

174

155

292

63

108

Production

4357

4494

4716

4795

5541

5633

MY Imports

2

2

2

1

2

2

MY Imp. from U.S.

0

0

0

0

0

0

MY Imp. from EU

0

1

0

0

0

0

Total Supply

4533

4670

4873

5088

5606

5743

MY Exports

3868

3868

4300

4500

4950

5100

MY Exp. to EU

450

587

450

1368

450

1700

Industrial Dom. Cons.

30

30

30

30

30

30

Food Use Dom. Cons.

480

480

480

450

490

450

Feed Waste Dom. Cons.

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total Dom. Cons.

510

510

510

480

520

480

Ending Stocks

155

292

63

108

136

163

Total Distribution

4533

4670

4873

5088

5606

5743

Meal, Sunflowerseed

2014/2015

2015/2016

2016/2017

Market Begin Year

Ukraine

Sep 2014

Sep 2015

May 2016

USDA

New Post

USDA

New Post

USDA

New Post

Official

Official

Official

Crush

10300

10450

11150

11150

13100

13100

Extr. Rate, 999.9999

0.418

0.414

0.418

0.414

0.418

0.414

Beginning Stocks

415

415

606

622

418

682

Production

4305

4326

4661

4616

5476

5423

MY Imports

0

5

1

1

0

1

MY Imp. from U.S.

0

0

0

0

0

0

MY Imp. from EU

0

5

0

1

0

1

Total Supply

4720

4746

5268

5239

5894

6106

MY Exports

3394

3394

4100

3817

4700

4600

MY Exp. to EU

2121

2121

2200

2118

2500

2200

Industrial Dom. Cons.

0

0

0

0

0

0

Food Use Dom. Cons.

0

0

0

0

0

0

Feed Waste Dom. Cons.

720

730

750

740

760

750

Total Dom. Cons.

720

730

750

740

760

750

Ending Stocks

606

622

418

682

434

756

Total Distribution

4720

4746

5268

5239

5894

6106

Soybean

Oilseed, Soybean

2014/2015

2015/2016

2016/2017

Market Begin Year

Ukraine

Sep 2014

Sep 2015

Sep 2016

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

Area Planted

1800

1806

2147

2300

1846

Area Harvested

1800

1796

2137

2124

1840

1837

Beginning Stocks

265

265

166

152

100

90

Production

3900

3884

3932

3919

4000

3986

MY Imports

4

4

3

5

0

4

MY Imp. from U.S.

0

0

0

0

0

0

MY Imp. from EU

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total Supply

4169

4153

4101

4076

4100

4080

MY Exports

2422

2422

2400

2369

2300

2300

MY Exp. to EU

850

527

800

328

900

500

Crush

880

876

930

945

1000

1000

Food Use Dom. Cons.

1

1

1

1

1

1

Feed Waste Dom. Cons.

700

702

670

671

670

670

Total Dom. Cons.

1581

1579

1601

1617

1671

1671

Ending Stocks

166

152

100

90

129

109

Total Distribution

4169

4153

4101

4076

4100

4080

Oil, Soybean

Market Begin Year

Ukraine

Sep 2014

Sep 2015

Sep 2016

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

Crush

880

876

930

945

1000

1000

Extr. Rate, 999.9999

0.1852

0.1826

0.1849

0.1831

0.185

0.183

Beginning Stocks

0

0

17

14

14

27

Production

163

160

172

173

185

183

MY Imports

0

0

0

0

0

0

MY Imp. from U.S.

0

0

0

0

0

0

MY Imp. from EU

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total Supply

163

160

189

187

199

210

MY Exports

136

136

160

152

170

182

MY Exp. to EU

65

60

65

61

80

90

Industrial Dom. Cons.

0

0

0

0

0

0

Food Use Dom. Cons.

10

10

15

8

15

8

Feed Waste Dom. Cons.

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total Dom. Cons.

10

10

15

8

15

8

Ending Stocks

17

14

14

27

14

20

Total Distribution

163

160

189

187

199

210

Meal, Soybean

Market Begin Year

2014/2015

2015/2016

2016/2017

Sep 2014

Sep 2015

Sep 2016

Ukraine

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

Crush

876

930

945

1000

1000

Extr. Rate, 999.9999

0.7898

0.79

0.7903

0.7894

0.79

0.784

Beginning Stocks

64

64

85

75

32

65

Production

695

692

735

746

790

784

MY Imports

2

2

2

2

2

2

MY Imp. from U.S.

0

0

0

0

0

0

MY Imp. from EU

0

0

0

1

0

0

Total Supply

761

758

822

823

824

851

MY Exports

216

213

330

338

300

350

MY Exp. to EU

0

15

0

40

0

30

Industrial Dom. Cons.

0

0

0

0

0

0

Food Use Dom. Cons.

0

0

0

0

0

0

Feed Waste Dom. Cons.

460

470

460

420

460

420

Total Dom. Cons.

460

470

460

420

460

420

Ending Stocks

85

75

32

65

64

81

Total Distribution

761

758

822

823

824

851

Rapessed

Oilseed, Rapeseed

2014/2015

2015/2016

2016/2017

Market Begin Year

Ukraine

Jul 2014

Jul 2015

Jul 2016

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

Area Planted

882

882

684

682

640

Area Harvested

880

881

677

682

450

450

Beginning Stocks

50

50

18

46

1

53

Production

2200

2212

1744

1851

1200

1184

MY Imports

2

2

2

2

2

2

MY Imp. from U.S.

0

0

0

0

0

0

MY Imp. from EU

0

2

0

2

0

2

Total Supply

2252

2264

1764

1899

1203

1239

MY Exports

1963

1963

1437

1437

900

850

MY Exp. to EU

1287

1287

1200

1115

900

750

Crush

270

240

325

397

300

350

Food Use Dom. Cons.

0

0

0

0

0

0

Feed Waste Dom. Cons.

1

15

1

12

1

4

Total Dom. Cons.

271

255

326

409

301

354

Ending Stocks

18

46

1

53

2

35

Total Distribution

2252

2264

1764

1899

1203

1239

Oil, Rapeseed

2014/2015

2015/2016

2016/2017

Market Begin Year

Ukraine

Jul 2014

Jul 2015

Jul 2016

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

Crush

270

240

325

397

300

350

Extr. Rate, 999.9999

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.4005

0.4

0.4

Beginning Stocks

39

39

30

16

0

18

Production

108

96

130

159

120

140

MY Imports

1

1

1

1

1

1

MY Imp. from U.S.

0

0

0

0

0

0

MY Imp. from EU

0

0

0

1

0

1

Total Supply

148

136

161

176

121

159

MY Exports

112

112

155

156

110

129

MY Exp. to EU

30

67

30

94

30

80

Industrial Dom. Cons.

1

2

1

1

1

1

Food Use Dom. Cons.

5

6

5

1

5

2

Feed Waste Dom. Cons.

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total Dom. Cons.

6

8

6

2

6

3

Ending Stocks

30

16

0

18

5

27

Total Distribution

148

136

161

176

121

159

Meal, Rapeseed

2014/2015

2015/2016

2016/2017

Market Begin Year

Ukraine

Jul 2014

Jul 2015

Jul 2016

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

USDA

Official

New Post

Crush

270

240

325

397

300

350

Extr. Rate, 999.9999

0.5815

0.5833

0.5815

0.5819

0.5833

0.5829

Beginning Stocks

0

0

0

0

0

0

Production

157

140

189

231

175

204

MY Imports

0

0

0

0

0

0

MY Imp. from U.S.

0

0

0

0

0

0

MY Imp. from EU

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total Supply

157

140

189

231

175

204

MY Exports

133

133

188

188

175

177

MY Exp. to EU

112

112

110

159

80

150

Industrial Dom. Cons.

0

0

0

0

0

0

Food Use Dom. Cons.

0

0

0

0

0

0

Feed Waste Dom. Cons.

24

7

1

43

0

27

Total Dom. Cons.

24

7

1

43

0

27

Ending Stocks

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total Distribution

157

140

189

231

175

204