Mexico. Rice Update. Jan 2015 March 9, 2015
Production
The Post/New total rice production estimate for MY 2014/15 (October to September) has been revised upward from USDA/Official estimates to 226,000 MT (rough production) reflecting the most recent data from SAGARPA and industry sources. The increased rough production is equivalent to 155,000 MT of milled rice. Essentially, rice output was increased due to favorable weather conditions leading to favorable yields. In Michoacan for example, it is expected that yields will reach 9 MT/ha, in the 2014 spring/summer crop cycle, compared with the national average yield of 5.6 MT/ha.
Stocks
The Post/New ending stocks estimate for MY 2014/15 is higher than the USDA/Official estimate (195,000 MT) as a result of higher than expected domestic production.
Policy
On December 10, 2014 the Secretariat of Economy (SE) published in the "Diario Oficial" a decree that modifies the Tariff of the General Import and Export Tax Law for imported rice. The decree imposes a 9 percent tariff on imported paddy rice and a 20 percent tariff on husked, long grain and other imported rice. For several months the Mexican Rice Council (MRC) had been lobbying the SE and the SAGARPA, requesting for the re-establishment of rice import tariffs from all countries that Mexico does not have free trade agreements. The United States is exempt from the announced tariffs because of the North America Free Trade (NAFTA) Agreement it has with Mexico
Mexico, Rice Production, Supply and Demand for MY2012/13 to MY2014/15
Rice, Milled, Mexico | 2012/2013 | 2013/2014 | 2014/2015 | |||
MY Begin: Oct 2012 | MY Begin: Oct 2013 | MY Begin: Oct 2014 | ||||
USDA Official | New Post | USDA Official | New Post | USDA Official | New Post | |
Area Harvested | 35 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 39 | 39 |
Beginning Stocks | 152 | 152 | 189 | 189 | 158 | 158 |
Milled Production | 131 | 131 | 131 | 131 | 147 | 155 |
Rough Production | 191 | 191 | 191 | 191 | 214 | 226 |
Milling Rate (.9999) | 6,87 | 6,87 | 6,87 | 6,87 | 6,87 | 6,87 |
MY Imports | 743 | 743 | 700 | 700 | 775 | 775 |
TY Imports | 746 | 746 | 700 | 700 | 775 | 775 |
TY Imp. from U.S. | 655 | 655 | 0 | 514 | 0 | 590 |
Total Supply | 1,026 | 1,026 | 1,02 | 1,02 | 1,08 | 1,088 |
MY Exports | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
TY Exports | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Consumption and Residual | 835 | 835 | 860 | 860 | 890 | 890 |
Ending Stocks | 189 | 189 | 158 | 158 | 187 | 195 |
Total Distribution | 1,026 | 1,026 | 1,02 | 1,02 | 1,08 | 1,088 |
1000 HA, 1000 MT, MT/HA