Rye Production, Trade, Consumption

Poland

2012/13

2013/14

2014/15*

2015/16*

Marketing Year Begin

July, 2012

July, 2013

July, 2014

July, 2015

Area

1,042

1,173

885

1,000

(000) HA

Production

2,888

3,359

2,800

2,850

(000) MT

MY Imports

15

11

18

15

(000) MT

MY Imp. From U.S.

0

0

0

0

(000) MT

MY Exports

574

1,046

565

575

(000) MT

Feed

650

500

510

510

(000) MT

FSI Consumption

1,820

1,863

1,710

1,790

(000) MT

Total Consumption

2,470

2,363

2,220

2,300

(000) MT

Source: FAS/Warsaw, Global Trade Atlas, Main Statistical Office, Poland

*FAS/Warsaw estimation and forecast

MY 2015/16

For 2015 production of rye is forecasted a bit higher than for 2014, to increase to 2.85 MMT. The acreage of plantings for the 2015 harvest is reported to be much higher than last year's, up by 13 percent. Industry demand raised farmers' interest for increasing rye planting. Human consumption and feed use will be stable.

MY 2014/15

In 2014 production of rye decreased by almost 17 percent and amounted to 2.8 MMT. The sharp drop in production was the result of lower rye acreage as the yield and health of plants were good. Very high prices for rye in Poland led to a diminishing demand for rye as a feedstuff. Rye was mostly replaced by triticale which was much more profitable. The declining tendency of human consumption of rye foodstuffs stopped. For 2014 /15 MY human consumption is expected to stabilize on the level of the year 2013/14. The use of grains in the feed industry shows quite the opposite direction. The demand for alcohol production has increased and was the main driver for rye production dynamics.